{"id":63,"date":"2026-01-13T06:57:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T22:57:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/?p=63"},"modified":"2026-01-13T07:15:07","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T23:15:07","slug":"%e6%9c%ba%e6%9e%84%e4%bc%98%e5%85%88-14","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/?p=63","title":{"rendered":"\u673a\u6784\u4f18\u5148 | #14"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u6211\u4eec\u6bcf\u4e24\u5468\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u6b21\u5bf9\u673a\u6784\u9886\u57df\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6d1e\u5bdf\uff0c\u8ba9\u60a8\u968f\u65f6\u638c\u63e1\u884c\u4e1a\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u6001\u3002<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u5728\u672c\u5468\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0cOKX \u673a\u6784\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1\u3001\u7279\u8bb8\u91d1\u878d\u5206\u6790\u5e08 Kelvin Lam \u6df1\u5165\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u8fd1\u671f\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u70ed\u95e8\u8bdd\u9898\u4e4b\u4e00\uff1a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u4ed6\u5206\u6790\u4e86 2020 \u5e74\u548c 2024 \u5e74\u521b\u4e0b\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u533a\u522b\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u5206\u6790\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5dee\u5f02\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u52bf\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u52a8\u6001\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<div class=\"index_embeddedButtonContainer__VnUpA index_custom__uZwjS\"><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy academy-btn btn-md btn-fill-highlight\" href=\"https:\/\/okx.typeform.com\/contact-sales?utm_source=learn&amp;utm_campaign=institutional_trading_leads&amp;utm_content=cta_article_institutional-top-of-mind-14\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"btn-content\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u4e86\u89e3\u66f4\u591a\u5173\u4e8e\u673a\u6784\u6218\u7565\u7684\u4fe1\u606f<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<h2 id=\"1\"><span dir=\"auto\">TL;DR<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6700\u8fd1\u521b\u4e0b\u4e86\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\u4e0e 2020 \u5e74\u7684\u4e0a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u76f8\u6bd4\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5dee\u5f02\u56f4\u7ed5\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8\u3001\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u51cf\u534a\u5468\u671f\u548c\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80cc\u666f\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">\u5728\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u8fd1\u671f\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u3001\u878d\u8d44\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u53ca\u8c37\u6b4c\u8d8b\u52bf\u7b49\u66ff\u4ee3\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u662f\u5728\u51cf\u534a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e4b\u524d\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e4b\u540e\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">\u5b8f\u89c2\u5f62\u52bf\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5f53\u524d10\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u73874%\u4e0e2020\u5e74\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b90.9%\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u9c9c\u660e\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u52bf\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0e\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u51fa\u73b0\u5206\u6b67\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"2\"><span dir=\"auto\">1. \u5e02\u573a\u5174\u8da3\u548c\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><u><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf<\/span><\/b><\/u><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u5c06\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5148\u524d\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u4e0e\u5f53\u524d\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u6709\u7528\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/span><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u6bcf\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u73b0\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\uff08\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u524d\u7684 7 \u5929\uff09\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff081.9 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143 vs. 6.9 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ee5<\/span><\/i><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5355\u4f4d<\/span><\/i><span dir=\"auto\">\u8861\u91cf\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86 54%\u00a0\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u5bf9\u6bd4\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u4f9b\u5e94\u6709\u9650\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u53ca\u5176\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4ef7\u503c\u50a8\u5b58\u624b\u6bb5\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5982\u4e0a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5cf0\u503c\u671f\u95f4\u90a3\u4e48\u6d3b\u8dc3\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u4eba\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u8f6c\u5411\u6301\u6709\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u5176\u957f\u671f\u6f5c\u529b\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u589e\u5f3a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u66f4\u52a0\u6210\u719f\uff0c\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u673a\u6784\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u957f\u671f\u6301\u6709\u5176\u5934\u5bf8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"index_tableContainer__E8YdM\">\n<div class=\"index_inner__jAQZo\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u65e5\u671f<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u5f00\u76d8\u4ef7$BTC<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u6bcf\u65e5\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\uff08\u8fc7\u53bb 7 \u5929\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff09<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u6bcf\u65e5\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\uff08\u8fc7\u53bb 7 \u5929\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff09<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u8ba1<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u4ee5\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4e3a\u5355\u4f4d<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">2020\u5e7412\u67081\u65e5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">19,610\u7f8e\u5143<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">350.9\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">1.93\u7c73<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">2024\u5e743\u670811\u65e5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">69,076\u7f8e\u5143<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">591.9\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">0.89\u7c73<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/span><\/i><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span dir=\"auto\">Coingecko<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span dir=\"auto\">\uff0c2024 \u5e74 3 \u6708 13 \u65e5<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><u><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387<\/span><\/b><\/u><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u8fd1\u671f\u521b\u4e0b\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u878d\u8d44\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u548c\u8ba8\u8bba\u30022024\u5e743\u6708\u521d\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u5229\u7528\u6760\u6746\u505a\u591a\uff0c\u5e76\u501f\u52bf\u5934\u83b7\u5229\uff0c\u878d\u8d44\u5229\u7387\u98d9\u5347\u903e100%\u3002\u867d\u7136\u91cd\u7f6e\u878d\u8d44\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u5229\u597d\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u5e02\u573a\u53cd\u5f39\u66f4\u5177\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u521b\u4e0b\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u878d\u8d44\u5229\u7387\u4f4e\u4e8e2020\u5e7411\u6708\u7684\u4e0a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e4b\u524d\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"index_imageContainer__rfZ7y index_custom__nLneb\"><button class=\"academy academy-plain-button academy academy-image-viewer\" type=\"button\" aria-haspopup=\"dialog\" aria-label=\"BTC\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"academy-picture-contain index_img__W8PbS\" src=\"https:\/\/www.okx.com\/cdn\/assets\/plugins\/contentful\/4nqoo8goeymu\/6zA6VpCVhJn1Nn8lGDy2Dy\/d18e36ecf69d447bb1eb56db93f72849\/Bitcoin_futures_perps_funding_rate.jpeg?x-oss-process=image\/resize,w_2880,h_1800\/format,webp\" alt=\"BTC\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387\" width=\"3200\" height=\"1800\" \/><\/button><\/div>\n<p><u><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u516c\u5171\u5229\u76ca<\/span><\/b><\/u><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u901a\u8fc7\u5229\u7528\u8c37\u6b4c\u8d8b\u52bf\u7b49\u66ff\u4ee3\u6570\u636e\u6e90\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6709\u8da3\u6a21\u5f0f\u30022020\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u5468\uff08\u6a59\u8272\u7ebf\uff09\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u516c\u4f17\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u4e0e2020\u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u51e0\u5468\uff0c\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u6301\u7eed\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u5b66\u4e60\u66f4\u52a0\u4e13\u6ce8\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\u201c\u5bb3\u6015\u9519\u8fc7\u201d\uff08FOMO\uff09\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u666e\u904d\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u63d0\u5347\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e1\u6708\u4efd\u73b0\u8d27ETF\u7684\u63a8\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u516c\u4f17\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u5e76\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4f20\u7edf\u91d1\u878d\u9886\u57df\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u5728\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6b63\u5f0f\u53d1\u5e03\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u6df1\u5165\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4f7f\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u4f20\u7edf\u91d1\u878d\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u89c6\u91ce\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"index_imageContainer__rfZ7y index_custom__nLneb\"><button class=\"academy academy-plain-button academy academy-image-viewer\" type=\"button\" aria-haspopup=\"dialog\" aria-label=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u8c37\u6b4c\u8d8b\u52bf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"academy-picture-contain index_img__W8PbS\" src=\"https:\/\/www.okx.com\/cdn\/assets\/plugins\/contentful\/4nqoo8goeymu\/2bwuvGLaJOt2JkV6FAYgTu\/841527669542c91c5039dc55383a3380\/Google_trend_-Bitcoin-_interest_over_time.jpeg?x-oss-process=image\/resize,w_2880,h_1800\/format,webp\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u8c37\u6b4c\u8d8b\u52bf\" width=\"3200\" height=\"1800\" \/><\/button><\/div>\n<h2 id=\"3\"><span dir=\"auto\">2. \u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u51cf\u534a\u5468\u671f<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\"><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oklink.com\/halving\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u518d\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708<\/a>\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5c06\u8fce\u6765<\/span><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.okx.com\/learn\/what-is-bitcoin-halving\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u51cf\u534a<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\uff0c\u51cf\u534a\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5728\u6b64\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u9ad8\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ece\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u8fbe\u5230\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6bd4\u4e0a\u4e00\u5468\u671f\u8981\u65e9\u5f97\u591a\uff082020 \u5e74\u51cf\u534a\u524d 37 \u5929\uff0c\u800c\u51cf\u534a\u540e 203 \u5929\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u81f3\u5c11\u53ef\u4ee5\u90e8\u5206\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u66f4\u52a0\u5173\u6ce8\u51cf\u534a\u53d9\u4e8b\uff0c\u5e76\u8bd5\u56fe\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e8b\u4ef6\u83b7\u5229\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u4f7f\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u6bcf\u65e5\u65b0\u589e\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u4e00\u534a\u3002\u4e0e\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u4f9b\u5e94\u52a8\u6001\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6709\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u88ab<a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/2024\/03\/11\/blackrock-ceo-larry-fink-says-bitcoin-great-potential-long-term-store-of-value-if-youre-fearful-of-government\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u673a\u6784\u5e7f\u6cdb\u8ba4\u53ef\u4e3a\u4ef7\u503c\u50a8\u5b58\u624b\u6bb5<\/a>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"index_tableContainer__E8YdM\">\n<div class=\"index_inner__jAQZo\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><i><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u51cf\u534a\u65e5\u671f<\/span><\/b><\/i><\/td>\n<td><i><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u65e5\u671f<\/span><\/b><\/i><\/td>\n<td><i><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u4e0d\u540c\u4e4b\u5904<\/span><\/b><\/i><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">2020\u5e745\u670811\u65e5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">2020\u5e7411\u670830\u65e5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">+203\u5929<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">\uff08\u9884\u8ba1\uff092024 \u5e74 4 \u6708 21 \u65e5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">2024\u5e743\u67085\u65e5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">-37\u5929<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/span><\/i><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.okx.com\/price\/bitcoin-btc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span dir=\"auto\">OKX<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u3001<\/span><\/i><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oklink.com\/btc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span dir=\"auto\">OKLink<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u4ece\u77ff\u5de5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u51cf\u534a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u524d\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e3a\u77ff\u5de5\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4ece\u5df2\u6316\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4e2d\u83b7\u5229\u5e76\u6218\u7565\u6027\u5730\u89c4\u5212\u672a\u6765\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u51cf\u534a\u524d\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\u4f7f\u77ff\u5de5\u80fd\u591f\u8bc4\u4f30\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u51cf\u534a\u540e\u65b0\u7684\u77ff\u5de5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u683c\u5c40\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5229\u7528\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u77ff\u5de5\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u6218\u7565\u6027\u5b9a\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u533a\u5757\u5956\u52b1\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5c31\u5176\u8fd0\u8425\u3001\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u957f\u671f\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u505a\u51fa\u66f4\u660e\u667a\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u6b64\u6b21\u6da8\u52bf\u662f\u77ff\u5de5\u4f18\u5316\u7b56\u7565\u5e76\u9002\u5e94\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6316\u77ff\u683c\u5c40\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5173\u952e\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u65e9\u57282020\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230<\/span><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/10-blocks-in-47-minutes-miners-are-accelerating-bitcoin-halving-block-can-be-reached-quicker-than-expected\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u54c8\u5e0c\u7387\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e9b\u77ff\u573a\u7531\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u800c\u51b3\u5b9a\u5173\u95ed\u77ff\u673a\uff0c\u8fd9\u7ed9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u52a8\u6001\u548c\u7f51\u7edc\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6316\u77ff\u884c\u4e1a\u56e0\u51cf\u534a\u800c\u6574\u5408\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u54c8\u5e0c\u7387\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u5c06\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"4\"><span dir=\"auto\">3. \u5fae\u8ddd\u80cc\u666f<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u8fd9\u4e00\u9c9c\u660e\u5bf9\u6bd4\u51f8\u663e\u4e86\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u6b64\u524d\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u6700\u4e3a\u663e\u8457\u4e14\u5f71\u54cd\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\u504f\u79bb\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u5728\u4f20\u7edf\u91d1\u878d\u9886\u57df\u65e5\u76ca\u53d7\u5230\u8ba4\u53ef\uff0c\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u6001\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5bf9\u5176\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u4ea7\u751f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 (CME) \u6301\u6709\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u671f\u8d27\u672a\u5e73\u4ed3\u5408\u7ea6*\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u73b0\u8d27 ETF \u7684\u65e5\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc7 50 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143**\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u548c\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5f00\u59cb\u5c06\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u4f5c\u4e3a\u51b3\u7b56\u4f9d\u636e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u4ea4\u6613\u5176\u4ed6\u91d1\u878d\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u65f6\u901a\u5e38\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u5982\u51fa\u4e00\u8f99\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u7f8e\u56fd10\u5e74\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u901a\u5e38\u88ab\u7528\u4f5c\u65e0\u98ce\u9669\u5229\u7387\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u8d44\u4ea7\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0e\u80a1\u7968\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e4b\u95f4\u901a\u5e38\u5448\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u65e0\u98ce\u9669\u5229\u7387\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u6210\u672c***\u3002\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7d27\u7f29\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd10\u5e74\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff08\u5982\u4e0b\u8868\u6240\u793a\uff09\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4e5f\u9006\u5386\u53f2\u8d8b\u52bf\u800c\u5f3a\u52b2\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0e2020\u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u9c9c\u660e\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6<\/span><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2020\/03\/03\/fed-cuts-rates-by-half-a-percentage-point-to-combat-coronavirus-slowdown.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u606f<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u5e76\u5b9e\u65bd\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"index_tableContainer__E8YdM\">\n<div class=\"index_inner__jAQZo\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u65e5\u671f<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u7f8e\u56fd10\u5e74\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u7f8e\u56fd10\u5e74\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u7f8e\u56fd10\u5e74\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">12\u4e2a\u6708\u524d<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<td><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u5728\u6b64\u65e5\u671f<\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<td><i><b><span dir=\"auto\">\u627e\u96f6\uff08\u9875\u6570\uff09<\/span><\/b><\/i><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">2020\u5e7412\u67081\u65e5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">1.717%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">0.929%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">-0.788<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">2024\u5e743\u670811\u65e5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">3.545%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">4.098%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span dir=\"auto\">+0.553<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><i><span dir=\"auto\">\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/span><\/i><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/rates-bonds\/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span dir=\"auto\">Investing.com<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u6839\u636e<\/span><a class=\"academy academy-powerLink-a11y academy-powerLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span dir=\"auto\">FedWatch<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5230 2024 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u5e95\u81f3\u5c11\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3a 75% \u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5171\u8bc6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u672c\u5468\u7684 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u542c\u5230\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u53d1\u8868\u66f4\u52a0\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u4f55\u65f6\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u7684\u5f53\u524d\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5411\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u73af\u5883\u800c\u975e\u7d27\u7f29\u73af\u5883\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u770b\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u663e\u8457\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u30022024 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u5730\u5c06\u4e94\u5e74\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u4ef7\u5229\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e0e 2020 \u5e74\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u65f6\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u66f4\u52a0\u6709\u5229\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6211\u4eec\u6bcf\u4e24\u5468\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u6b21\u5bf9\u673a\u6784\u9886\u57df\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6d1e\u5bdf\uff0c\u8ba9\u60a8\u968f\u65f6\u638c\u63e1\u884c\u4e1a\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u6001\u3002 \u5728\u672c\u5468\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0cOKX \u673a\u6784\u7814&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/?p=63\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u673a\u6784\u4f18\u5148 | #14<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3114,"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63\/revisions\/3114"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/okx.biquan123.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}